Broadcom — still active, now at +72%
A weekly look at one active cycle as it continues to develop over time.
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Cycle Overview
Previous Cycle Context
Cyclica Tracking Snapshot
Internal Structure (PRO)
Disclaimer
Each week, one active cycle.
1. Cycle Overview
This cycle is still active.
Activation came in May 2025, when the structure was beginning to emerge after a period of consolidation.
At the time, there was no certainty about the outcome — only a defined condition that entered the tracking framework.
Today, price is sitting around +72% from activation.
Step 1 was reached relatively quickly, confirming part of the cycle early in its development.
Since then, the cycle has continued to evolve through multiple phases of expansion and consolidation.
Interestingly, recent weeks have been very different from the earlier stages of the move.
After a strong advance, price has experienced a meaningful pullback, including weakness over the last month.
That doesn’t automatically change the structure.
In fact, many longer-duration cycles spend time correcting, consolidating, and testing conviction before revealing their next phase.
So far, the structure remains active.
The outcome remains open.
2. Previous Cycle Context
Broadcom has produced some of the strongest completed cycles in the entire framework.
One earlier cycle generated a +208% weighted outcome before completion.
Another later cycle reached approximately +253% weighted outcome, developing over multiple years after initially reaching Step 1.
Not every cycle followed the same path.
One cycle eventually concluded with a more modest +50% weighted outcome despite successfully reaching Step 1.
Different environments.
Different outcomes.
The common factor is that none of those outcomes were obvious near activation.
That’s why the current cycle is tracked one phase at a time.
3. Cyclica Tracking Snapshot
Cyclica tracks a rules-based sequence of independent cycles over time.
Since tracking began, this has resulted in a cumulative outcome of +28436.88% across 481 cycles (non-compounded), based on 89 stocks observed through multiple phases.
At any given moment, only a small subset of cycles is active — and those are the ones currently being monitored as they move through their next steps.
Tickers on the Basket: 89
Total Activations: 481
Closed Cycles: 427
Active Cycles: 52
Winning Rate: 65.57%
Winning Cycles: 280
Losing Cycles: 147
Cycles Above +100%: 122
Average Cycles per Year: 17.81
Maximum Losing Streak: 10
4. Internal Structure (PRO)
Inside the structure:
– Activation Price: 221.85
– Current Price: 381.48
– Step 1: reached (+30.00%)
– Current phase: post Step 1, still active
The cycle remains structurally valid.
Recent weakness has reduced momentum compared to earlier phases, but the sequence itself has not completed.
The current phase is less about expansion and more about whether structure continues to hold through consolidation.
Extension logic remains in place while structure remains intact.
This is where tracking matters.
5. Disclaimer
This content is for educational and informational purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities.
Cyclica is a rules-based tracking framework.
All results shown are cumulative and non-compounded, derived from independent cycle tracking across a defined basket of stocks.
They do not represent a portfolio, actual trades, or capital allocation.
Past outcomes do not guarantee future results.


