Amazon — still active, now at +140%
A weekly look at one active cycle as it continues to develop over time.
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Cycle Overview
Previous Cycle Context
Cyclica Tracking Snapshot
Internal Structure (PRO)
Disclaimer
Each week, one active cycle.
1. Cycle Overview
This cycle is still active.
Activation came in April 2023, when the structure was starting to recover after a prolonged corrective phase.
At the time, there was no certainty about the outcome — only a defined condition that entered the tracking framework.
Today, price is sitting around +140% from activation.
Step 1 was reached relatively early in the process, confirming part of the cycle.
But the sequence continued evolving well beyond that stage.
The move itself has gone through multiple phases.
Periods of strong acceleration were followed by slower consolidations, pauses, and renewed expansion.
More recently, momentum has cooled slightly after a prolonged advance —
something that is not unusual during extended cycles.
So far, the structure remains intact.
No invalidation has been triggered.
The cycle is still active.
The outcome remains open.
2. Previous Cycle Context
Previous cycles on this same ticker have produced dramatically different outcomes over time.
Some cycles reached Step 1 and then failed shortly after.
Others evolved into much larger multi-year expansions.
One earlier cycle eventually developed into a +420% weighted outcome before completion.
Another later cycle produced approximately +226%, while other cycles ended with far smaller outcomes — or even negative reversals.
Different periods.
Different volatility conditions.
Different outcomes.
That’s why the current cycle is tracked phase by phase rather than judged too early.
3. Cyclica Tracking Snapshot
Cyclica tracks a rules-based sequence of independent cycles over time.
Since tracking began, this has resulted in a cumulative outcome of +27475.19% across 466 cycles (non-compounded), based on 88 stocks observed through multiple phases.
At any given moment, only a small subset of cycles is active —
and those are the ones currently being monitored as they move through their next steps.
Tickers on the Basket: 88
Total Activations: 466
Closed Cycles: 414
Active Cycles: 50
Winning Rate: 64.98%
Winning Cycles: 269
Losing Cycles: 145
Cycles Above +100%: 118
Average Cycles per Year: 17.26
Maximum Losing Streak: 11
4. Internal Structure
Inside the structure:
– Activation Price: 107.66
– Current Price: 259.34
– Step 1: reached (+30.00%)
– Current phase: extended beyond Step 1, still active
The cycle remains structurally valid.
No invalidation has been triggered so far.
The current phase appears more mature compared to earlier expansion stages,
but the sequence itself has not completed yet.
Extension logic remains in place while structure continues to hold.
This is where tracking matters.
5. Disclaimer
This content is for educational and informational purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities.
Cyclica is a rules-based tracking framework.
All results shown are cumulative and non-compounded, derived from independent cycle tracking across a defined basket of stocks.
They do not represent a portfolio, actual trades, or capital allocation.
Past outcomes do not guarantee future results.